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CSX Corporation

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CSX Corporation is an American Class I freight railroad that operates an approximately 20,000 route-mile network across 26 states east of the Mississippi River, providing rail, intermodal, and trucking services to customers in the merchandise, intermodal, and coal markets, and generating $14.1 billion in revenue in fiscal 2025. The company moves roughly 6.3 million carloads and intermodal units annually, serving major population centers and over 70 ocean, river, and lake port terminals along the Atlantic and Gulf Coasts.

This is a story about a franchise in transition — a railroad that absorbed an unusually difficult 2025, watched its operating margin compress by 400 basis points, and then, under new leadership, engineered one of the sharper turnarounds in the sector to start 2026. The file turns on a single question: whether the margin recovery visible in the first quarter of 2026 represents a durable inflection or a cyclical bounce that fades as one-time tailwinds dissipate. Infrastructure investments completed during the 2025 reset — most notably the Howard Street Tunnel double-stack clearance in Baltimore — are now entering service, and CSX is running the leanest operation it has in years. But the rail business is unforgiving. Volume growth depends on industrial production, housing construction, and global steel demand, none of which are under management's control. Meanwhile, a proposed Union Pacific–Norfolk Southern merger threatens to redraw the competitive map of North American freight rail, with CSX cast as the most vocal opponent of consolidation.

CSX is not the largest railroad in North America — Union Pacific and BNSF are bigger by revenue and route-miles — but its eastern network is irreplaceable infrastructure, and under the Precision Scheduled Railroading playbook that has defined the industry for a decade, it has historically been among the most efficient operators. The investment case today rests on whether new CEO Stephen Angel can restore that efficiency to levels that justify a multiple that has already expanded meaningfully from 2024 lows.

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